The market of fixed line, internet and mobile subscriber market segments covering 24 countries across Asia is interesting to watch. Most of the developing economies in the region are witnessing subscriber growth in the recent past. Asia’s least developed telecommunications market is about to take off thanks to foreign investment and liberalized policies.

By describing long-range scenarios, it can be identified that a band within which it is expected that subscriber growth will occur. The following table depicts the data from Malaysia.

Malaysia – forecast – fixed-line subscribers – 2015; 2017; 2020

Year		Lower growth scenario		Higher growth scenario
	Subscribers (million)	Penetration	Subscribers (million)	Penetration
2013	3.7	12.6%	3.7	12.6%
2014 (actual)	3.6	12.1%	3.6	12.1%
2015	3.4	11.3%	3.9	13.6%
2017	3.2	10.6%	4.1	13.6%
2020	2.9	8.8%	4.4	13.5%

 

Malaysia – forecast – fixed broadband internet subscribers – 2015; 2017; 2020

Year		Lower growth scenario		Higher growth scenario
	Subscribers1 (million)	Penetration	Subscribers1(million)	Penetration
2013	2.9	10%	2.9	10%
2014 (actual)	3.1	10%	3.1	10%
2015	3.2	10%	3.9	10%
2017	3.6	11%	4.0	12%
2020	4.2	12%	5.5	16%

 

Year		Lower growth scenario		Higher growth scenario
	Subscribers (million)	Penetration	Subscribers(million)	Penetration
2013	43.0	145%	43.0	145%
2014 (actual)	44.9	149%	44.9	149%
2015	45.0	150%	46.0	151%
2017	45.5	150%	50.0	154%
2020	50.0	152%	55.0	166%